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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 1

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Matches

Matchday 1 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 17 goals from 20.6 xG (0.83 goals per xG).

  • Win most in line with xG: Nantes 0–1 PSG (xG 0.14–1.43). The winner had 71% on xG.
  • Most xG: Brest 3–3 Lille (xG 2.01–1.62). 3.63 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Nantes 0–1 PSG (xG 0.14–1.43). An xG gap of 1.29.
  • Most goals above xG: Lille, +1.38 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: Marseille, -1.71 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Rennes 1–0 Marseille1.47–1.7133% · 23% · 43%Close call, Rennes won
Lens 0–1 Lyon1.38–1.4137% · 25% · 38%Win in line with xG for Lyon
Monaco 3–1 Le Havre1.76–0.6065% · 22% · 12%Win in line with xG for Monaco
Nice 0–1 Toulouse0.79–0.6136% · 38% · 26%Close call, Toulouse won
Brest 3–3 Lille2.01–1.6247% · 21% · 31%Draw in line with xG
Angers 1–0 Paris FC0.97–0.9235% · 32% · 33%Win in line with xG for Angers
Auxerre 1–0 Lorient1.44–1.3739% · 25% · 36%Win in line with xG for Auxerre
Metz 0–1 Strasbourg0.30–0.6215% · 48% · 37%Close call, Strasbourg won
Nantes 0–1 PSG0.14–1.433% · 25% · 71%Win in line with xG for PSG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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