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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 25.1 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco 1–3 Lorient | 1.25–1.38 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Lorient |
| PSG 3–0 Lille | 1.40–1.14 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Lens 1–0 Auxerre | 2.66–0.55 | 82% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Toulouse 5–1 Nice | 1.84–1.99 | 36% · 21% · 42% | Close call, Toulouse won |
| Angers 2–5 Marseille | 0.94–2.84 | 10% · 14% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
| Strasbourg 2–1 Metz | 1.09–1.08 | 36% · 29% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Nantes 1–2 Paris FC | 0.35–0.81 | 15% · 41% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Paris FC |
| Rennes 1–1 Le Havre | 2.35–0.75 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Rennes had 73% |
| Lyon 2–1 Brest | 1.98–0.68 | 68% · 20% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.