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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 30

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Matches

Matchday 30 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.4 xG (0.95 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Lens 3–2 Toulouse3.76–0.4193% · 5% · 2%Win in line with xG for Lens
Lorient 2–0 Marseille1.33–1.6531% · 24% · 45%Close call, Lorient won
Angers 1–1 Le Havre1.07–1.4528% · 26% · 46%Draw in line with xG
Lille 0–0 Nice0.54–0.1936% · 53% · 11%Draw in line with xG
Monaco 2–2 Auxerre2.24–0.6574% · 17% · 9%Draw against the xG: Monaco had 74%
Metz 1–3 Paris FC1.01–1.7422% · 24% · 55%Win in line with xG for Paris FC
Nantes 1–1 Brest0.92–0.4246% · 37% · 16%Draw in line with xG
Strasbourg 0–3 Rennes1.00–4.254% · 7% · 89%Win in line with xG for Rennes
PSG 1–2 Lyon3.12–0.6286% · 10% · 4%Won against the xG: Lyon

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 29 · Matchday 31

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