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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.1 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC 2–0 Lorient | 1.02–0.97 | 36% · 31% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Paris FC |
| Metz 0–3 Marseille | 0.16–2.71 | 1% · 8% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
| Brest 0–0 Nantes | 1.51–0.15 | 73% · 24% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Brest had 73% |
| Auxerre 1–2 Lens | 1.71–0.41 | 70% · 22% · 8% | Won against the xG: Lens |
| Lyon 1–2 Toulouse | 1.17–1.18 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Toulouse |
| Le Havre 2–2 Rennes | 1.71–1.11 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Le Havre had 51% |
| Monaco 2–2 Nice | 2.98–1.15 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Monaco had 74% |
| Strasbourg 5–0 Angers | 4.73–0.32 | 97% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Lille 1–1 PSG | 0.65–1.50 | 16% · 26% · 58% | Draw against the xG: PSG had 58% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.