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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 33.2 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille 2–2 PSG | 1.27–1.44 | 33% · 26% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Strasbourg 2–1 Lens | 1.83–2.91 | 23% · 17% · 60% | Won against the xG: Strasbourg |
| Auxerre 1–3 Angers | 1.81–1.55 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Close call, Angers won |
| Brest 2–2 Toulouse | 3.04–1.14 | 75% · 14% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Brest had 75% |
| Lorient 1–2 Troyes | 1.15–2.12 | 20% · 21% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Troyes |
| Lyon 1–1 Le Havre | 1.75–0.69 | 63% · 23% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Lyon had 63% |
| Paris FC 3–0 Nice | 2.38–0.78 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Paris FC |
| Rennes 3–2 Le Mans | 3.12–3.06 | 43% · 16% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Monaco 2–0 Marseille | 1.72–1.40 | 45% · 23% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.