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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 34.5 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse 0–1 Lille | 3.46–1.21 | 79% · 11% · 9% | Won against the xG: Lille |
| Lyon 3–1 Auxerre | 2.85–0.71 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| PSG 1–2 Monaco | 2.32–0.51 | 78% · 15% · 6% | Won against the xG: Monaco |
| Lens 0–1 Lorient | 1.24–1.60 | 30% · 25% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Lorient |
| Le Havre 1–2 Brest | 2.02–2.37 | 34% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
| Nice 1–1 Le Mans | 1.12–1.28 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg | 2.94–2.95 | 41% · 17% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Angers 1–2 Rennes | 1.66–1.54 | 41% · 23% · 36% | Close call, Rennes won |
| Marseille 2–3 Paris FC | 1.42–3.29 | 13% · 13% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Paris FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.