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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.7 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 2–1 Hertha BSC | 2.17–0.45 | 77% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
| Paderborn 2–1 Holstein Kiel | 1.01–0.58 | 45% · 34% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Paderborn |
| SV Darmstadt 98 4–1 VfL Bochum | 2.51–1.93 | 51% · 19% · 30% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| SV Elversberg 1–0 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.11–1.55 | 27% · 25% · 47% | Won against the xG: SV Elversberg |
| Karlsruher SC 3–2 Preußen Münster | 1.19–1.06 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Karlsruher SC |
| Arminia Bielefeld 5–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 3.40–1.23 | 78% · 12% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–2 Dynamo Dresden | 1.59–1.54 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Win in line with xG for SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| Hannover 96 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.31–0.15 | 68% · 28% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 Eintracht Braunschweig | 1.61–0.27 | 72% · 23% · 6% | Won against the xG: Eintracht Braunschweig |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.