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9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 24.3 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 0.90–1.27 | 26% · 29% · 45% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| Preußen Münster 1–1 Paderborn | 0.34–2.71 | 3% · 10% · 87% | Draw against the xG: Paderborn had 87% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 3–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.62–1.34 | 44% · 24% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Braunschweig |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 0–2 Hannover 96 | 0.47–1.77 | 9% · 22% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| Dynamo Dresden 1–2 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.90–1.09 | 74% · 14% · 11% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Magdeburg |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–0 Schalke 04 | 1.32–0.36 | 61% · 29% · 10% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| VfL Bochum 2–0 SV Elversberg | 2.60–0.18 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| Hertha BSC 0–0 Karlsruher SC | 1.55–1.71 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Holstein Kiel 0–2 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.34–0.84 | 48% · 28% · 23% | Won against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.