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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.5 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg 2–2 Hannover 96 | 1.36–1.51 | 34% · 25% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Preußen Münster 2–1 Holstein Kiel | 1.82–1.12 | 54% · 23% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Preußen Münster |
| Hertha BSC 2–0 Dynamo Dresden | 1.64–0.63 | 62% · 24% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| Karlsruher SC 2–1 Schalke 04 | 0.70–1.75 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Won against the xG: Karlsruher SC |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.96–0.75 | 39% · 34% · 27% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg |
| SV Darmstadt 98 2–2 Arminia Bielefeld | 3.31–0.67 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Draw against the xG: SV Darmstadt 98 had 87% |
| VfL Bochum 2–0 1. FC Magdeburg | 3.32–2.11 | 62% · 16% · 23% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.11–1.44 | 29% · 26% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Paderborn 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.84–1.43 | 47% · 23% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Paderborn |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.