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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 24.2 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–0 Preußen Münster | 0.21–0.84 | 9% · 41% · 50% | Won against the xG: SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| Dynamo Dresden 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg | 0.96–1.21 | 29% · 29% · 42% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg |
| Arminia Bielefeld 4–0 Karlsruher SC | 3.00–0.45 | 88% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| Hannover 96 2–3 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.80–2.59 | 26% · 18% · 55% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| Schalke 04 1–0 SV Elversberg | 0.38–0.35 | 24% · 55% · 21% | Close call, Schalke 04 won |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–1 Hertha BSC | 1.35–1.04 | 44% · 27% · 29% | Won against the xG: Hertha BSC |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 0–2 VfL Bochum | 3.21–1.56 | 70% · 15% · 16% | Won against the xG: VfL Bochum |
| Holstein Kiel 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 0.98–1.39 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Won against the xG: Holstein Kiel |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 Paderborn | 1.99–0.92 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Won against the xG: Paderborn |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.