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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 30.6 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum 1–2 Dynamo Dresden | 2.58–0.97 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Won against the xG: Dynamo Dresden |
| Hertha BSC 1–0 Eintracht Braunschweig | 1.17–0.96 | 41% · 29% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–1 1. FC Magdeburg | 1.31–2.34 | 20% · 19% · 60% | Won against the xG: Fortuna Düsseldorf |
| Paderborn 0–2 Hannover 96 | 1.18–1.28 | 34% · 27% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| Preußen Münster 0–0 Schalke 04 | 0.42–1.51 | 10% · 25% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Schalke 04 had 65% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 4–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2.32–1.35 | 59% · 19% · 21% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4–1 Holstein Kiel | 3.87–1.64 | 77% · 11% · 12% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| Karlsruher SC 2–3 SV Elversberg | 1.68–3.50 | 15% · 13% · 72% | Win in line with xG for SV Elversberg |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 2–0 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.76–0.74 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.