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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 26.3 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 3–0 Karlsruher SC | 2.26–0.62 | 75% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| Schalke 04 2–1 Paderborn | 1.54–0.72 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 2–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.73–0.48 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Braunschweig |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–3 VfL Bochum | 0.48–2.89 | 4% · 10% · 86% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| Holstein Kiel 0–1 Hertha BSC | 1.30–1.87 | 27% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 3–0 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.81–0.63 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
| Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 Preußen Münster | 1.83–1.46 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Close call, Preußen Münster won |
| SV Elversberg 0–0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.78–1.49 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.39–1.06 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.