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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 28.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–0 SV Elversberg | 1.02–1.74 | 22% · 24% · 54% | Won against the xG: SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 1–1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.48–0.60 | 59% · 26% · 15% | Draw against the xG: 1. FC Magdeburg had 59% |
| Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 Paderborn | 3.20–0.73 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld had 85% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 1.81–0.44 | 71% · 21% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Braunschweig |
| Holstein Kiel 2–3 1. FC Nürnberg | 3.28–1.22 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Nürnberg |
| Hertha BSC 1–1 VfL Bochum | 1.31–0.55 | 55% · 29% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Hertha BSC had 55% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0 Karlsruher SC | 3.04–0.99 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| Schalke 04 2–2 Hannover 96 | 0.85–2.30 | 12% · 18% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Hannover 96 had 70% |
| Dynamo Dresden 6–0 Preußen Münster | 2.97–0.69 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.