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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 28.0 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg 1–0 1. FC Magdeburg | 1.30–0.94 | 45% · 28% · 27% | Win in line with xG for SV Elversberg |
| Schalke 04 1–0 Arminia Bielefeld | 2.27–0.89 | 68% · 18% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 2–0 Holstein Kiel | 2.07–0.79 | 67% · 20% · 13% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 0.64–2.42 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Düsseldorf |
| Paderborn 1–1 Eintracht Braunschweig | 1.36–0.29 | 65% · 28% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Paderborn had 65% |
| VfL Bochum 3–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2.61–1.78 | 56% · 18% · 26% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| Hannover 96 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.94–0.96 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Won against the xG: SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| Karlsruher SC 3–3 Dynamo Dresden | 3.14–1.66 | 67% · 15% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Karlsruher SC had 67% |
| Preußen Münster 1–2 Hertha BSC | 0.68–2.25 | 10% · 17% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.