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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.1 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–1 VfL Bochum | 1.71–1.32 | 47% · 24% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Düsseldorf |
| Dynamo Dresden 3–1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.22–1.27 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Close call, Dynamo Dresden won |
| Arminia Bielefeld 0–1 Hannover 96 | 1.51–1.34 | 41% · 25% · 34% | Close call, Hannover 96 won |
| Holstein Kiel 1–1 SV Elversberg | 1.05–0.94 | 37% · 31% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–2 Paderborn | 0.39–2.81 | 3% · 10% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Paderborn |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 Schalke 04 | 0.66–1.81 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Schalke 04 had 65% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 1–2 Preußen Münster | 1.19–0.70 | 48% · 31% · 22% | Won against the xG: Preußen Münster |
| Hertha BSC 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg | 0.86–0.88 | 33% · 34% · 34% | Close call, Hertha BSC won |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 1–3 Karlsruher SC | 2.65–0.79 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Won against the xG: Karlsruher SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.