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9 of 9 matches with xG: 36 goals from 31.6 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.50–1.17 | 45% · 26% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.70–1.12 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| SV Darmstadt 98 2–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 1.87–1.66 | 43% · 22% · 35% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| SV Elversberg 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig | 2.41–0.55 | 79% · 15% · 7% | Win in line with xG for SV Elversberg |
| Karlsruher SC 3–1 Holstein Kiel | 2.39–1.37 | 60% · 19% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Karlsruher SC |
| Schalke 04 5–3 1. FC Magdeburg | 3.16–1.52 | 70% · 15% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
| Hannover 96 0–0 Dynamo Dresden | 0.71–0.70 | 31% · 38% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Paderborn 5–2 Hertha BSC | 3.26–1.25 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Paderborn |
| Preußen Münster 2–3 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.57–3.69 | 12% · 12% · 76% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.