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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.2 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 0–0 Preußen Münster | 1.47–0.67 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Fortuna Düsseldorf had 56% |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 5–1 Karlsruher SC | 1.77–1.57 | 43% · 23% · 34% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 2–2 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.97–1.34 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Eintracht Braunschweig had 52% |
| Hertha BSC 2–3 Hannover 96 | 1.63–2.82 | 21% · 17% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.72–0.72 | 61% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| Dynamo Dresden 1–2 SV Elversberg | 0.72–1.03 | 25% · 33% · 42% | Win in line with xG for SV Elversberg |
| VfL Bochum 0–0 Paderborn | 2.24–0.39 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Draw against the xG: VfL Bochum had 80% |
| Holstein Kiel 1–2 Schalke 04 | 1.35–3.06 | 14% · 15% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 0–2 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.59–1.14 | 48% · 25% · 27% | Won against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.