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3 of 9 matches with xG: 11 goals from 9.0 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld 3–2 Eintracht Braunschweig | 1.75–0.64 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| Hannover 96 3–1 Holstein Kiel | 3.66–0.75 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| Karlsruher SC 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 0.36–1.84 | 6% · 20% · 74% | Draw against the xG: Fortuna Düsseldorf had 74% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.