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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.2 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg 1–2 Hannover 96 | 0.70–1.66 | 15% · 24% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1 Preußen Münster | 1.92–0.57 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Draw against the xG: 1. FC Nürnberg had 70% |
| VfL Bochum 2–0 Schalke 04 | 0.90–0.70 | 38% · 35% · 27% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 1–0 Karlsruher SC | 1.10–0.69 | 45% · 32% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Braunschweig |
| Holstein Kiel 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 0.72–1.24 | 22% · 30% · 49% | Win in line with xG for SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–3 SV Elversberg | 0.42–2.98 | 3% · 9% · 88% | Win in line with xG for SV Elversberg |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–1 Paderborn | 0.79–0.83 | 31% · 35% · 34% | Close call, Fortuna Düsseldorf won |
| Hertha BSC 2–2 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.47–2.40 | 23% · 19% · 58% | Draw against the xG: SV Darmstadt 98 had 58% |
| Dynamo Dresden 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.31–1.83 | 27% · 23% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.