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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 22.8 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.29–0.27 | 84% · 13% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.95–0.54 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 4–1 VfL Bochum | 2.10–1.15 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
| Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC | 1.91–0.91 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Won against the xG: Hertha BSC |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.47–1.44 | 38% · 25% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 Paderborn | 0.90–1.32 | 25% · 28% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Paderborn |
| Hannover 96 1–1 SV Elversberg | 0.82–1.14 | 26% · 31% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Holstein Kiel 0–0 Preußen Münster | 0.71–0.96 | 26% · 34% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Schalke 04 1–0 Karlsruher SC | 1.80–0.15 | 79% · 18% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.