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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 22.8 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel | 1.10–1.42 | 29% · 26% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Holstein Kiel |
| Karlsruher SC 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.19–2.33 | 18% · 19% · 63% | Won against the xG: Karlsruher SC |
| Hertha BSC 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.36–1.29 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Close call, 1. FC Kaiserslautern won |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 0–2 Dynamo Dresden | 1.06–0.64 | 45% · 33% · 22% | Won against the xG: Dynamo Dresden |
| Preußen Münster 0–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.16–0.19 | 62% · 32% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Preußen Münster had 62% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–2 Hannover 96 | 1.32–1.80 | 28% · 23% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| VfL Bochum 4–1 Eintracht Braunschweig | 2.15–0.79 | 69% · 19% · 12% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| SV Elversberg 1–2 Schalke 04 | 1.17–1.21 | 35% · 28% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
| Paderborn 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg | 1.74–0.88 | 58% · 23% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Paderborn |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.