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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.3 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg 3–0 Karlsruher SC | 1.73–0.63 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for SV Elversberg |
| Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.63–0.64 | 61% · 24% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Holstein Kiel |
| Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.22–1.05 | 40% · 28% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 1.21–0.89 | 43% · 29% · 27% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
| Dynamo Dresden 2–0 VfL Bochum | 1.44–0.65 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
| Hannover 96 1–1 Paderborn | 0.64–1.83 | 12% · 22% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Paderborn had 66% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Hertha BSC | 1.31–2.00 | 25% · 22% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Hertha BSC had 53% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–2 SV Darmstadt 98 | 3.16–1.60 | 68% · 15% · 17% | Win in line with xG for SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| Schalke 04 4–1 Preußen Münster | 2.44–0.21 | 87% · 11% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.