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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 22.9 xG (1.35 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 Dynamo Dresden | 1.15–1.29 | 33% · 27% · 40% | Close call, Fortuna Düsseldorf won |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–2 Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.72–0.77 | 30% · 37% · 33% | Close call, Eintracht Braunschweig won |
| Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel | 1.96–0.30 | 78% · 18% · 5% | Won against the xG: Holstein Kiel |
| Karlsruher SC 1–3 Hannover 96 | 0.88–1.15 | 28% · 30% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| Preußen Münster 2–3 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.86–1.24 | 52% · 23% · 25% | Won against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld |
| SV Darmstadt 98 3–3 SV Elversberg | 1.29–1.20 | 39% · 27% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfL Bochum 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.66–1.58 | 40% · 23% · 37% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 1–0 1. FC Magdeburg | 1.79–0.45 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg |
| Paderborn 2–3 Schalke 04 | 1.32–2.28 | 21% · 20% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.