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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Bochum | 1.13–0.57 | 49% · 32% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig | 1.30–0.54 | 55% · 29% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Holstein Kiel |
| Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.58–0.20 | 73% · 23% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
| Schalke 04 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 1.36–0.57 | 56% · 28% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
| SV Elversberg 5–1 Paderborn | 2.72–1.10 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for SV Elversberg |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.58–1.48 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hannover 96 3–3 Preußen Münster | 1.96–1.76 | 43% · 21% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Karlsruher SC 2–1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.89–1.13 | 73% · 15% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Karlsruher SC |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC | 0.65–0.86 | 26% · 36% · 38% | Close call, 1. FC Magdeburg won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.