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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 26.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Braunschweig 0–0 Energie Cottbus | 0.78–0.56 | 37% · 39% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dynamo Dresden 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.92–1.22 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
| Holstein Kiel 1–2 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.09–1.92 | 21% · 22% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 2–0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.16–1.17 | 60% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg |
| VfL Osnabrück 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.27–1.45 | 33% · 26% · 41% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| Hertha BSC 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.39–0.90 | 48% · 27% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| VfL Bochum 3–2 Karlsruher SC | 2.75–1.44 | 65% · 17% · 18% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 2–2 Hannover 96 | 1.18–1.42 | 31% · 26% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 4–1 FC St. Pauli | 2.96–1.27 | 72% · 15% · 13% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.