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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 27.8 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig | 1.27–0.37 | 60% · 30% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| Energie Cottbus 1–2 VfL Bochum | 1.41–1.32 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Close call, VfL Bochum won |
| SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg | 1.30–0.83 | 48% · 29% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–3 Hertha BSC | 1.28–2.90 | 14% · 15% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfL Osnabrück | 2.05–1.18 | 57% · 21% · 21% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Karlsruher SC 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.58–1.32 | 44% · 25% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Karlsruher SC |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–0 Holstein Kiel | 0.79–1.25 | 23% · 29% · 47% | Won against the xG: SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| Hannover 96 2–1 Dynamo Dresden | 2.66–1.37 | 65% · 17% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| FC St. Pauli 1–3 1. FC Nürnberg | 3.96–0.95 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Nürnberg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.