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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 27.7 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.59–0.78 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Draw against the xG: VfL Bochum had 57% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–0 FC St. Pauli | 0.81–1.91 | 15% · 21% · 63% | Draw against the xG: FC St. Pauli had 63% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 Energie Cottbus | 3.76–0.56 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Draw against the xG: 1. FC Heidenheim had 92% |
| Hertha BSC 1–0 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.98–0.37 | 76% · 18% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 6–1 Karlsruher SC | 2.75–0.73 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2.18–0.88 | 67% · 19% · 14% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 2–0 Hannover 96 | 1.62–1.08 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Braunschweig |
| Holstein Kiel 3–0 Dynamo Dresden | 1.47–2.04 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Won against the xG: Holstein Kiel |
| VfL Osnabrück 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2.55–0.65 | 78% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.