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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 23.3 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.86–1.35 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC | 0.51–1.66 | 11% · 23% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Hertha BSC had 66% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.67–1.28 | 19% · 29% · 51% | Won against the xG: SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2–0 VfL Bochum | 2.37–0.61 | 77% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.68–2.04 | 32% · 21% · 47% | Close call, VfL Wolfsburg won |
| Hannover 96 1–1 FC St. Pauli | 1.27–0.94 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück | 1.04–1.41 | 28% · 27% · 45% | Won against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld |
| Karlsruher SC 4–0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.20–0.50 | 54% · 31% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Karlsruher SC |
| Dynamo Dresden 2–0 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.05–0.87 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.