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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 25.5 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Braunschweig 1–0 Holstein Kiel | 1.08–1.19 | 33% · 29% · 38% | Close call, Eintracht Braunschweig won |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0.78–1.32 | 22% · 28% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| SV Darmstadt 98 3–1 Energie Cottbus | 1.42–1.49 | 36% · 25% · 39% | Close call, SV Darmstadt 98 won |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 3–0 Hannover 96 | 1.16–1.00 | 39% · 29% · 31% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
| VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden | 2.02–0.57 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Draw against the xG: VfL Osnabrück had 72% |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 VfL Wolfsburg | 2.38–3.71 | 23% · 14% · 63% | Draw against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg had 63% |
| VfL Bochum 0–1 Arminia Bielefeld | 0.67–1.69 | 14% · 24% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.76–1.00 | 55% · 23% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| FC St. Pauli 2–0 Karlsruher SC | 0.89–1.33 | 25% · 28% · 47% | Won against the xG: FC St. Pauli |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.