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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg | 0.70–0.90 | 27% · 35% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.72–1.23 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück | 2.10–1.82 | 45% · 21% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–0 Eintracht Braunschweig | 1.88–1.17 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| Karlsruher SC 0–1 1. FC Nürnberg | 0.43–0.81 | 18% · 40% · 42% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg |
| Dynamo Dresden 1–2 Hertha BSC | 0.83–2.58 | 10% · 15% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.49–2.52 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Draw against the xG: 1. FC Heidenheim had 82% |
| Energie Cottbus 1–1 FC St. Pauli | 1.12–0.77 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hannover 96 2–1 VfL Bochum | 1.77–1.73 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.