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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 26.2 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.86–1.24 | 52% · 23% · 25% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Hannover 96 | 2.15–1.26 | 58% · 20% · 22% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg |
| VfL Bochum 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.53–1.64 | 36% · 24% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 2–2 Dynamo Dresden | 1.27–0.97 | 43% · 28% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.12–1.08 | 36% · 29% · 34% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
| FC St. Pauli 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.93–0.54 | 43% · 36% · 21% | Win in line with xG for FC St. Pauli |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–0 Holstein Kiel | 2.33–0.80 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| Karlsruher SC 0–3 Energie Cottbus | 1.73–1.93 | 35% · 22% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Hertha BSC | 1.73–2.14 | 32% · 21% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.