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9 of 9 matches with xG: 34 goals from 30.1 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 FC St. Pauli | 1.06–1.00 | 36% · 30% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hannover 96 2–2 Karlsruher SC | 1.61–1.78 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Holstein Kiel 2–2 1. FC Nürnberg | 0.68–1.84 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Draw against the xG: 1. FC Nürnberg had 65% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.63–1.04 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| VfL Wolfsburg 4–4 Energie Cottbus | 3.82–3.05 | 54% · 15% · 31% | Draw against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg had 54% |
| Dynamo Dresden 1–2 VfL Bochum | 1.82–1.40 | 47% · 23% · 30% | Won against the xG: VfL Bochum |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.60–0.88 | 24% · 36% · 40% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| Hertha BSC 2–1 1. FC Magdeburg | 1.38–0.91 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| VfL Osnabrück 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig | 2.57–2.01 | 51% · 19% · 31% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.