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9 of 9 matches with xG: 42 goals from 32.8 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum 0–1 VfL Osnabrück | 1.37–0.52 | 58% · 28% · 14% | Won against the xG: VfL Osnabrück |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 3–5 Hertha BSC | 2.60–3.60 | 27% · 15% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| Energie Cottbus 3–4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 3.03–1.99 | 59% · 17% · 24% | Won against the xG: SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 5–3 Dynamo Dresden | 3.24–1.52 | 71% · 14% · 15% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.59–3.03 | 18% · 16% · 67% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld | 0.94–1.19 | 29% · 29% · 42% | Close call, 1. FC Nürnberg won |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 Hannover 96 | 0.91–2.31 | 13% · 18% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Holstein Kiel | 0.83–2.11 | 14% · 19% · 67% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Magdeburg |
| FC St. Pauli 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.34–0.71 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.