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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.6 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 VfL Bochum | 1.51–1.23 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Close call, VfL Bochum won |
| Holstein Kiel 2–2 FC St. Pauli | 2.09–2.56 | 32% · 19% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.75–1.48 | 64% · 17% · 19% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Nürnberg |
| Hertha BSC 4–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.04–1.24 | 56% · 21% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Hertha BSC |
| VfL Osnabrück 0–3 1. FC Magdeburg | 0.97–1.72 | 21% · 24% · 55% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 Karlsruher SC | 1.05–0.75 | 42% · 32% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arminia Bielefeld 3–0 Energie Cottbus | 3.57–0.56 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| Hannover 96 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.30–1.71 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Dynamo Dresden 1–0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 0.64–0.38 | 36% · 45% · 19% | Close call, Dynamo Dresden won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.