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2. Bundesliga 2026/2027 xG Round-Up: Matchday 1

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Matches

Matchday 1 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 29.7 xG (1.04 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
VfL Bochum 0–1 Hertha BSC1.04–0.6445% · 33% · 22%Won against the xG: Hertha BSC
SV Darmstadt 98 2–2 Holstein Kiel0.71–1.3819% · 28% · 53%Draw against the xG: Holstein Kiel had 53%
1. FC Heidenheim 4–3 VfL Osnabrück2.59–1.9353% · 19% · 29%Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim
Karlsruher SC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld1.42–1.1743% · 26% · 31%Win in line with xG for Karlsruher SC
1. FC Magdeburg 1–6 Eintracht Braunschweig1.24–3.4310% · 12% · 79%Win in line with xG for Eintracht Braunschweig
VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern1.26–0.8646% · 29% · 25%Draw in line with xG
Energie Cottbus 3–1 Hannover 961.35–3.0314% · 15% · 71%Won against the xG: Energie Cottbus
1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden2.23–1.9645% · 20% · 35%Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg
FC St. Pauli 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.72–1.7838% · 22% · 40%Draw in line with xG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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