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4 of 10 matches with xG: 7 goals from 12.2 xG (0.57 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim 1–0 Arminia Bielefeld | 0.93–1.94 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Won against the xG: Waldhof Mannheim |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 4–0 Borussia Dortmund II | 2.60–0.53 | 82% · 13% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Rot-Weiß Essen |
| SV Sandhausen 1–0 SpVgg Unterhaching | 1.77–2.09 | 33% · 21% · 46% | Close call, SV Sandhausen won |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 0–1 Verl | 1.43–0.94 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Won against the xG: Verl |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.