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10 of 10 matches with xG: 44 goals from 33.5 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Waldhof Mannheim | 1.98–1.57 | 47% · 22% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
| Stuttgart II 0–3 Borussia Dortmund II | 0.74–3.78 | 3% · 7% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund II |
| Hannover 96 II 1–2 FC Viktoria Köln | 0.65–1.35 | 18% · 28% · 54% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| Arminia Bielefeld 3–3 SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.14–0.64 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld had 72% |
| SV Sandhausen 4–6 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.75–2.26 | 30% · 20% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Erzgebirge Aue |
| SV Wehen 2–5 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.10–1.73 | 24% · 24% · 52% | Win in line with xG for FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| TSV 1860 München 0–4 Verl | 0.67–1.59 | 16% · 25% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| Energie Cottbus 3–1 Hansa Rostock | 3.00–2.78 | 45% · 17% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| VfL Osnabrück 2–0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.47–0.90 | 50% · 26% · 23% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Alemannia Aachen | 2.42–1.03 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Draw against the xG: FC Saarbrücken had 68% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.