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1 of 10 matches with xG: 2 goals from 1.2 xG (1.64 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verl 1–1 FC Saarbrücken | 0.45–0.77 | 20% · 41% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.