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4 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 12.4 xG (0.65 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Viktoria Köln 2–0 Stuttgart II | 2.43–0.65 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| SpVgg Unterhaching 1–1 Waldhof Mannheim | 1.44–1.03 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| SV Wehen 0–0 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.24–0.68 | 50% · 30% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Borussia Dortmund II 3–1 Verl | 2.51–2.38 | 43% · 19% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund II |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.