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10 of 10 matches with xG: 43 goals from 33.7 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim 3–0 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.43–0.30 | 66% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Waldhof Mannheim |
| Hansa Rostock 1–2 Alemannia Aachen | 0.59–1.20 | 18% · 31% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Alemannia Aachen |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Verl | 1.46–0.97 | 48% · 26% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Viktoria Köln 3–5 Borussia Dortmund II | 4.67–2.76 | 69% · 12% · 19% | Won against the xG: Borussia Dortmund II |
| SV Wehen 1–5 Hannover 96 II | 1.64–2.55 | 24% · 19% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 II |
| Energie Cottbus 1–1 SV Sandhausen | 1.02–1.61 | 24% · 25% · 51% | Draw against the xG: SV Sandhausen had 51% |
| Stuttgart II 2–3 FC Saarbrücken | 1.42–2.56 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Win in line with xG for FC Saarbrücken |
| Dynamo Dresden 3–3 Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.72–2.20 | 31% · 20% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arminia Bielefeld 3–1 VfL Osnabrück | 2.18–0.77 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| SpVgg Unterhaching 2–2 TSV 1860 München | 1.88–0.78 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Draw against the xG: SpVgg Unterhaching had 63% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.