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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 33.5 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Viktoria Köln 1–0 Waldhof Mannheim | 1.03–0.70 | 43% · 33% · 24% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 VfL Osnabrück | 2.26–1.00 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Erzgebirge Aue had 66% |
| Hansa Rostock 1–4 SV Wehen | 0.87–1.28 | 25% · 29% · 46% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
| TSV 1860 München 1–1 Stuttgart II | 0.10–1.23 | 3% · 30% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Stuttgart II had 67% |
| Energie Cottbus 1–1 Dynamo Dresden | 2.45–1.98 | 49% · 19% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Verl 2–1 Alemannia Aachen | 0.95–1.67 | 21% · 24% · 54% | Won against the xG: Verl |
| SV Sandhausen 3–4 FC Saarbrücken | 2.50–1.01 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Won against the xG: FC Saarbrücken |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 5–1 Hannover 96 II | 3.88–1.72 | 76% · 12% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Rot-Weiß Essen |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 3–1 SpVgg Unterhaching | 1.73–2.31 | 29% · 20% · 51% | Won against the xG: FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| Borussia Dortmund II 0–4 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.37–3.50 | 11% · 12% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.