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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 25.9 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II 1–2 VfL Osnabrück | 1.70–1.00 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Won against the xG: VfL Osnabrück |
| SpVgg Unterhaching 1–2 Verl | 1.75–0.54 | 67% · 22% · 11% | Won against the xG: Verl |
| Arminia Bielefeld 3–1 FC Saarbrücken | 1.49–1.14 | 45% · 26% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 0–3 Alemannia Aachen | 1.45–1.50 | 37% · 25% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Alemannia Aachen |
| Energie Cottbus 2–2 Hannover 96 II | 2.30–2.40 | 39% · 19% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Waldhof Mannheim 3–2 SV Sandhausen | 1.01–0.65 | 43% · 34% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Waldhof Mannheim |
| FC Viktoria Köln 1–0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 0.69–1.03 | 24% · 33% · 43% | Won against the xG: FC Viktoria Köln |
| Hansa Rostock 4–1 Erzgebirge Aue | 2.22–1.52 | 54% · 20% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Hansa Rostock |
| SV Wehen 0–0 TSV 1860 München | 0.34–0.71 | 16% · 44% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dynamo Dresden 0–0 Borussia Dortmund II | 1.97–0.53 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Dynamo Dresden had 72% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.