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9 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.6 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verl 1–4 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2.10–1.16 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Won against the xG: FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 1–1 Dynamo Dresden | 1.34–1.31 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfL Osnabrück 0–1 Arminia Bielefeld | 0.46–2.04 | 7% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| Hannover 96 II 3–2 SV Wehen | 1.09–1.53 | 27% · 26% · 47% | Won against the xG: Hannover 96 II |
| Borussia Dortmund II 1–1 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.60–0.74 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Dortmund II had 58% |
| TSV 1860 München 2–1 SpVgg Unterhaching | 1.91–1.10 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for TSV 1860 München |
| SV Sandhausen 0–1 Energie Cottbus | 2.74–1.47 | 64% · 17% · 19% | Won against the xG: Energie Cottbus |
| Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 Waldhof Mannheim | 0.58–0.80 | 24% · 38% · 38% | Close call, Waldhof Mannheim won |
| Alemannia Aachen 2–1 Hansa Rostock | 1.35–0.29 | 64% · 28% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Alemannia Aachen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.