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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 22.9 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verl 3–0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 0.75–0.33 | 42% · 43% · 15% | Close call, Verl won |
| VfL Osnabrück 1–0 TSV 1860 München | 1.05–1.08 | 34% · 30% · 36% | Close call, VfL Osnabrück won |
| Waldhof Mannheim 0–0 Borussia Dortmund II | 0.94–1.52 | 23% · 26% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Dortmund II had 51% |
| Hansa Rostock 0–0 FC Saarbrücken | 0.49–0.79 | 21% · 40% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| SpVgg Unterhaching 0–2 Alemannia Aachen | 0.13–2.13 | 2% · 14% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Alemannia Aachen |
| Energie Cottbus 1–0 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.70–0.85 | 58% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 Hannover 96 II | 2.80–1.25 | 70% · 16% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld had 70% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 3–1 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.14–1.09 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Win in line with xG for FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| Dynamo Dresden 2–0 SV Wehen | 1.73–0.98 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
| Stuttgart II 2–1 SV Sandhausen | 1.38–0.75 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Stuttgart II |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.