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10 of 10 matches with xG: 38 goals from 35.5 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 II 2–3 Dynamo Dresden | 2.81–1.15 | 72% · 15% · 13% | Won against the xG: Dynamo Dresden |
| FC Viktoria Köln 3–1 SpVgg Unterhaching | 3.09–0.94 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Stuttgart II | 1.29–2.18 | 22% · 20% · 58% | Won against the xG: Erzgebirge Aue |
| SV Wehen 2–2 Waldhof Mannheim | 1.65–1.09 | 50% · 24% · 25% | Draw against the xG: SV Wehen had 50% |
| TSV 1860 München 5–1 Energie Cottbus | 2.36–0.78 | 73% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for TSV 1860 München |
| FC Saarbrücken 1–1 VfL Osnabrück | 1.69–1.09 | 51% · 24% · 24% | Draw against the xG: FC Saarbrücken had 51% |
| Alemannia Aachen 0–1 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.76–1.32 | 48% · 23% · 29% | Won against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld |
| Borussia Dortmund II 3–3 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3.93–2.31 | 67% · 13% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Dortmund II had 67% |
| SV Sandhausen 1–3 Verl | 1.41–2.07 | 26% · 21% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 2–1 Hansa Rostock | 1.86–0.72 | 65% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Rot-Weiß Essen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.