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5 of 10 matches with xG: 15 goals from 15.8 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim 0–2 SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.25–0.98 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Won against the xG: SpVgg Unterhaching |
| Stuttgart II 1–2 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.17–3.83 | 7% · 9% · 84% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| Arminia Bielefeld 4–2 SV Wehen | 2.46–0.79 | 74% · 16% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| FC Saarbrücken 2–0 Erzgebirge Aue | 2.02–0.27 | 80% · 16% · 4% | Win in line with xG for FC Saarbrücken |
| Hannover 96 II 1–1 Alemannia Aachen | 0.92–1.10 | 30% · 30% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.