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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 29.6 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Unterhaching 2–2 Erzgebirge Aue | 0.78–1.90 | 15% · 21% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Erzgebirge Aue had 64% |
| Waldhof Mannheim 3–2 VfL Osnabrück | 2.61–1.08 | 70% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Waldhof Mannheim |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 2–2 Rot-Weiß Essen | 0.31–2.61 | 3% · 11% · 86% | Draw against the xG: Rot-Weiß Essen had 86% |
| Energie Cottbus 4–0 Stuttgart II | 3.84–0.57 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| SV Wehen 1–3 SV Sandhausen | 2.15–1.10 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Won against the xG: SV Sandhausen |
| Dynamo Dresden 1–1 Hansa Rostock | 1.71–0.74 | 61% · 24% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Dynamo Dresden had 61% |
| Arminia Bielefeld 0–1 TSV 1860 München | 1.10–0.71 | 45% · 32% · 24% | Won against the xG: TSV 1860 München |
| Hannover 96 II 1–3 FC Saarbrücken | 0.97–2.93 | 9% · 13% · 77% | Win in line with xG for FC Saarbrücken |
| FC Viktoria Köln 2–1 Verl | 1.21–0.93 | 42% · 29% · 28% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| Borussia Dortmund II 3–0 Alemannia Aachen | 1.48–0.83 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund II |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.