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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 26.8 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Unterhaching 0–0 SV Sandhausen | 0.80–1.48 | 20% · 26% · 53% | Draw against the xG: SV Sandhausen had 53% |
| Waldhof Mannheim 1–0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3.50–1.07 | 82% · 10% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Waldhof Mannheim |
| FC Viktoria Köln 2–0 Erzgebirge Aue | 0.86–0.31 | 47% · 40% · 13% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| SV Wehen 2–1 VfL Osnabrück | 1.49–2.14 | 27% · 21% · 53% | Won against the xG: SV Wehen |
| Borussia Dortmund II 1–2 TSV 1860 München | 1.71–1.46 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Close call, TSV 1860 München won |
| Hannover 96 II 3–1 Stuttgart II | 1.88–0.45 | 72% · 20% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 II |
| Energie Cottbus 4–1 FC Saarbrücken | 3.25–0.61 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 2–1 Hansa Rostock | 1.06–1.39 | 29% · 27% · 44% | Won against the xG: FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| Dynamo Dresden 0–0 Alemannia Aachen | 1.26–0.76 | 48% · 29% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 Verl | 0.67–0.67 | 30% · 39% · 30% | Close call, Arminia Bielefeld won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.