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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 31.4 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen 1–1 TSV 1860 München | 1.13–0.65 | 47% · 32% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Energie Cottbus 3–3 FC Saarbrücken | 3.04–1.06 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Energie Cottbus had 77% |
| Hoffenheim II 0–0 Havelse | 1.92–1.22 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Hoffenheim II had 54% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2.71–0.76 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Draw against the xG: FC Ingolstadt 04 had 78% |
| Waldhof Mannheim 2–2 Verl | 1.92–0.30 | 77% · 18% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Waldhof Mannheim had 77% |
| VfL Osnabrück 0–0 Alemannia Aachen | 0.70–0.47 | 36% · 42% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| MSV Duisburg 2–1 Stuttgart II | 2.95–0.77 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for MSV Duisburg |
| Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 Hansa Rostock | 2.17–1.46 | 54% · 21% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Erzgebirge Aue had 54% |
| FC Viktoria Köln 2–0 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 1.55–1.83 | 33% · 22% · 45% | Close call, FC Viktoria Köln won |
| SV Wehen 3–1 SSV Ulm 1846 | 3.40–1.40 | 75% · 13% · 12% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.