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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 28.5 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schweinfurt 05 0–2 Energie Cottbus | 0.60–2.76 | 6% · 12% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| Alemannia Aachen 2–4 Hoffenheim II | 1.31–1.55 | 32% · 25% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim II |
| TSV 1860 München 3–1 VfL Osnabrück | 2.50–1.67 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Win in line with xG for TSV 1860 München |
| FC Saarbrücken 2–1 FC Viktoria Köln | 0.46–0.82 | 19% · 39% · 41% | Won against the xG: FC Saarbrücken |
| Havelse 1–1 Rot-Weiß Essen | 0.45–1.88 | 8% · 20% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Rot-Weiß Essen had 72% |
| SSV Ulm 1846 1–0 Erzgebirge Aue | 2.23–1.70 | 50% · 20% · 30% | Win in line with xG for SSV Ulm 1846 |
| Verl 2–2 SV Wehen | 2.55–1.17 | 67% · 17% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Verl had 67% |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–4 MSV Duisburg | 0.06–2.03 | 1% · 14% · 85% | Win in line with xG for MSV Duisburg |
| Hansa Rostock 1–0 Waldhof Mannheim | 0.29–0.66 | 14% · 46% · 39% | Won against the xG: Hansa Rostock |
| Stuttgart II 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.02–2.78 | 11% · 15% · 74% | Won against the xG: Stuttgart II |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.